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Around SBN: The Amateur Mathematics Of Linsanity

Ridiculous Mock: Jordan Hill to the Bucks

We're participating in the Ridiculous Upside mock draft, and today we made our pick at #10, Arizona PF Jordan Hill:

The unassailable, incontrovertible moral high ground of drafting philosophy can be summed up in three letters: BPA. Take the best player, the theory goes, and you will never be left wanting. Which leaves but a single problem...figuring out which guy actually is the best.

At number ten it seems particularly challenging, since the draft's only clear future star will be long gone. And with DeRozan, Rubio, and Evans also off the board, the dynamic youngsters are also no longer an option. That makes the notion of being more practical and considering need a bit more reasonable...especially when all the remaining guys start to look equally flawed. Given the Bucks' wait-and-see approach to re-signing RFAs Ramon Sessions and Charlie Villanueva, the obvious need positions are clear.

Among point guards, Jonny Flynn has been getting buzz as high as #4 after being an early favorite for the Bucks' slot. We like the 40" vertical and I suppose intangibles are a nice quality in a PG, right? Then again, he's also a pretty tiny dude who committed a ton of turnovers and didn't shoot particularly well at Syracuse. What about the bigs? No matter how much I try to fight it, I have a soft spot for DeJuan Blair, but all the talk about his knees potentially imploding is a bit worrisome for a lottery pick who doesn't bring a superstar ceiling. Which brings us to our pick, Arizona power forward Jordan Hill. No one seems to think he's got superstar talent, but then again at #10 you're not usually going to find it. What he does have is legit PF size, athleticism, motor, and enough skill to put up 18/11 in the Pac-10. If he can work on his 15-foot jump shot he'll look pretty good next to Andrew Bogut, and Scott Skiles should also appreciate his willingness to mix it up and work down low.

Nabbing Hill also fulfills an ulterior motive for Alex and myself: leaving room for Ramon Sessions to return at the point. Allowing that to affect our draft strategy could be considered blasphemous by the BPA gods, but given the lack of differentiation among most of the players available...well, we're OK with it. And if the Bucks do draft a PG later this month, that's also fine--the Bucks just need to make sure he really is the "best" guy on the board.

Did we get it right?  Did we get it horrifically wrong?  Let us know in the poll and comments below (only players available at #10 in the RU mock are listed).  And for what it's worth, we were initally told that the Raps were taking Flynn rather than DeMar DeRozan, who would have been our pick had he slipped.  When DeRozan went nine instead, we opted for Hill.

Poll
With the 10th overall pick in the Ridiculous Upside mock draft, the Bucks should have picked:
DeJuan Blair
63 votes
Earl Clark
11 votes
Austin Daye
3 votes
Jonny Flynn
55 votes
Tyler Hansbrough
36 votes
Gerald Henderson
9 votes
Jordan Hill
157 votes
Brandon Jennings
82 votes
James Johnson
2 votes
Ty Lawson
54 votes
B.J. Mullens
5 votes
Jeff Teague
12 votes

489 votes | Poll has closed

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For the purpose of the mock, it makes sense. You don’t want to take a Blair and lose your blogging cred.

So what’s the deal with Lawson and Hansbrough? Hansbrough is seeming more legit with each workout and apparently has the size. There’s no questioning his drive and he comes from a good program. As for Lawson, he’s a proven winner, again from a good school. So why do these two not seem to have lottery potential?

by MadTown Hoops on Jun 17, 2009 1:16 PM CDT reply actions  

It’s a completely valid question, and I freely admit to relying on scouts’ view of these guys a lot since I don’t follow the college game very closely. So I have a fair bit of “prevailing opinion” bias. I mentioned a couple weeks ago I thought Lawson was getting the shaft, especially compared to Flynn, but fortunately the Bucks are bringing both guys in to work out. My main problem with picking Lawson at 10 would be that you could probably trade down a ways and still get him.

I think Hansbrough will be a solid rebounder and crafty scorer at the next level, and my main reason for preferring Hill is because he actually blocks shots and has more defensive potential.

by Frank Madden on Jun 17, 2009 2:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

I have to admit that i too have the Blair goggles on, however, not at 10. At this point i’m feeling a bit akin to trading down and possibly prying 2 latter picks for our first rounder.

by spartakus on Jun 17, 2009 10:34 PM CDT reply actions  

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