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Game 41: Bucks/Raptors

2009/2010 NBA Season

Tor2_medium


Mil_2_medium
21-22 (13-6 home)
vs.
17-23 (5-16 road)
January 21, 2010
Air Canada Centre
6:00 PM
Radio: WTMJ AM 620 TV: No local
Probable starters:
Jarrett Jack
PG Brandon Jennings
Demar Derozan
SG Charlie Bell
Hedo Turkoglu
SF Carlos Delfino
Chris Bosh
PF Luc Mbah a Moute
Andrea Bargnani
C Andrew Bogut

(4th) 111.3 - OFFENSE - 102.9 (25th)
(30th) 112.9 - DEFENSE - 104.3 (8th)
(15th) 92.9 - PACE - 93.5 (10th)

Linkage

RaptorsHQ / The Score / Raptors Republic / Dino Nation

News/notes next...

Star-divide

Oh. Canada.
Two days since these two last sparred so we'll spare you the traditional scouting report. Thanks to a couple head-to-head wins already, the Bucks are just 2.5 games behind seventh-place Toronto in the standings.

But it's not hyperbole to say that the Raptors are a completely different team at home. The Raptors are 13-6 at home compared to 8-16 on the road, similar to the Bucks. Trouble is, this game is in Toronto, where they have already this month beaten the Mavericks and Spurs.

At the rim.
The Bucks shot 20-29 (.690) at the rim in Wednesday's win, compared to 10-22 (.455) for the Raptors. Keep an eye on that tonight, as the Bucks are typically one of the worst at the rim, the Raptors usually one of the best.

Ball Don't Lie: Halfway through the season, Central Division-style
This game marks the exact midway point for the Bucks, and they are on presently on pace for 35 wins. We predicted 34 in our season preview. And a plurality of you, the voters, chose the 36-40 win range. We are all looking pretty clairvoyant, this win pace doesn't really surprise. Although I don't think anyone foresaw Jennings leading the team in scoring, Jerry Stackhouse playing on the team, Luke Ridnour having Nashian shooting splits, or Michael Redd getting injured.

The team's Pythagorean Record (18-22) suggests Milwaukee could easily have a win or two more, which makes a lot of sense considering they have been on the losing end of a few last-second losses along with their poor record in close games.

The 36-40 win-range still seems quite likely. The Bucks not only have that brutal west coast road trip out of the way, they play a couple more home than road games from here on. The longest trips now are a pair of three-game roadies: Feb. 25-28 against the Pacers, Heat, and Hawks, and March 17-20 against the Clippers, Kings, and Nuggets.

Draft Express: Brandon Jennings Rookie Retrospective
This really excellent detailed breakdown states a lot of what those of you who have been paying attention know: Jennings attempts difficult shots, struggles to finish at the rim (and on all sorts of two-point shots), is growing more comfortable as a passer, and must improve defensively.

One interesting paragraph among many interesting paragraphs, is how Jennings has fared shooting the ball while guarded versus while open:

An overwhelming 72% of his catch and shoot opportunities come in situations where he has a hand in his face, according to SST. However, in a testament to the way this season has gone thus far, Jennings has made 54% of such attempts, more than 10% better than when left open.

SLAM: H.O.R.S.E is back
Some pseudo-news: All-Star Weekend will feature (well, include) H.O.R.S.E. again. Contestants not yet announced, but Luke Ridnour can't really miss from anywhere. Just sayin'.

Point gods.
Halfway through the season, point guards Tyreke Evans and Brandon Jennings are still the top rookies. You probably remember the last few point guards to win Rookie of the Year: Derrick Rose, Chris Paul, (co-winner Steve Francis), and Allen Iverson. The latter, of course, being Young Buck's childhood hero and most common comparison.

Before that? Damon Stoudamire, a personal favorite. Mighty Mouse started right away, led his team in scoring, was undersized but quick as can be and had a sweet (if not streaky) lefty shot. You might think you know where I'm going with this now, and you might also think that it is not very flattering to Jennings. But I'm not really going there, and Stoudamire really was something like a phenomenon his first couple years in Toronto, look at those numbers. And sure, Damon's career stats are about as close of a match to Brandon's current ones as I've seen, and they have some similarities in production and in style.

One big difference among many to keep in mind? Stoudamire actually went to Arizona for a full four years before his rookie campaign. Plus, Damon's career-high is 54.

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I think this game will speak to the Bucks intensity and focus as a team. They are playing an opponent twice in a row and since they just beat them Toronto will most likely have some extra motivation. If the Bucks can take the Raptors best punch right out of the block and win the first quarter I think they win.

by Superelkman on Jan 22, 2010 11:59 AM CST reply actions  

Bargnani out

….via Holly MacKenzie

So much for Bargnani proving Bogut wrong about not being a 5 defensively…

by Frank Madden on Jan 22, 2010 5:24 PM CST reply actions  

Who else is watching this game? It’s not on FSN is why I ask. I have league pass so it is nice I don’t have to miss this one.

by Superelkman on Jan 22, 2010 6:09 PM CST reply actions  

Bogut is going to #$#@#$# own Nesterovic.

by Superelkman on Jan 22, 2010 6:10 PM CST reply actions  

Should be much better defending Bogut than Bargs at least

by Frank Madden on Jan 22, 2010 6:23 PM CST up reply actions  

Not having Bargnani in really really helps us. Now we can keep both our bigs in the paint to defend Bosh. Feeling good about this one. Oh crap I just jinxed us.

by Superelkman on Jan 22, 2010 6:11 PM CST reply actions  

And it starts. Bogut with a nice bucket off the glass.

by Superelkman on Jan 22, 2010 6:14 PM CST reply actions  

Jennings with a jumper. 4-0. I am feeling good about this one even though Bosh just got to the line.

by Superelkman on Jan 22, 2010 6:15 PM CST reply actions  

Delfino feeling confident… 1-2 from 3 already

by Superelkman on Jan 22, 2010 6:16 PM CST reply actions  

13-12 Bucks

Good ball movement by the Bucks

by Superelkman on Jan 22, 2010 6:20 PM CST reply actions  

Turkoglu is really creating offense for his teammates. 4 assists already

by Superelkman on Jan 22, 2010 6:22 PM CST reply actions  

I think NBA League Pass is offering a free preview of their services. Try tuning in to see if you guys have it.

by Superelkman on Jan 22, 2010 6:23 PM CST reply actions  

I'd guess it's available

Shouldn’t be blacked out in MKE if there’s no local…

by Frank Madden on Jan 22, 2010 6:24 PM CST up reply actions  

Hey thanks for the heads up!

I was thinking I wouldn’t be able to see it tonight

"This one means 'Kill Kirk!!!!'... And also, 'hallelujah'... Depending on the context."

by trippingandy on Jan 22, 2010 7:38 PM CST up reply actions  

Bogut's hook

He’s so much better when his feet are set vs. when he tries to drive and throw up a hook on the run. Always seems off-balance.

by Frank Madden on Jan 22, 2010 6:24 PM CST reply actions  

I am liking the team I see tonight.

by Superelkman on Jan 22, 2010 7:06 PM CST reply actions  

Even though Rasho got the board I liked Ilyasovas D on Bosh there. Much better than last game.

by Superelkman on Jan 22, 2010 7:13 PM CST reply actions  

I love when they go full court off the make. They don’t even have to get a steal for that to be effective because what it does is bleed the clock by just a few seconds which gives the opposing team a little less time to run their offense.

by Superelkman on Jan 22, 2010 7:53 PM CST reply actions  

The Ridnour/Jack show

Ridnour carrying the second team offense as always…

by Frank Madden on Jan 22, 2010 8:19 PM CST reply actions  

BS call… defender was straight up

by Superelkman on Jan 22, 2010 8:34 PM CST reply actions  

Bucks get a dose of their own medicine

The zone has completely befuddled them and taken Bogut out of the game

by Frank Madden on Jan 22, 2010 8:36 PM CST up reply actions  

Super disapointing loss after that start.

by Superelkman on Jan 22, 2010 8:48 PM CST reply actions  

Bucks just incapable of beating anything other than awful teams on the road.

by Frank Madden on Jan 22, 2010 8:54 PM CST up reply actions  

The Bucks looked real crisp to start the game and I liked how they were going to Bogut, Jennings was creating a bit more…. but they can never seem to put a full game together… I feel like this game and last have shown some growth as a team though

by Superelkman on Jan 22, 2010 11:31 PM CST reply actions  

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