FanPost

The Bucks and Losing the FTA Battle (Update)


Two months ago, I wrote about the Bucks' historic struggles with being outshot at the line.  At that point, the Bucks had played 38 games and were outshot at the line in 32 of them, good for 84.2%.  That was by far the highest percentage in Bucks history, and the second-highest in the league since 1986-1987.*

I happened to write that post following the first Bucks-Jazz matchup of the year.  Now that the second resulted in a Bucks win, but moreso because Zorakathura asked, I think it is a good time to update the numbers.  Note: these numbers are through the games of March 12.

As we all know, a lot has changed with this Bucks team since January 17.  Jerry Stackhouse signed the next day, while one month later Primoz Brezec, Royal Ivey, and John Salmons arrived in exchange for Joe Alexander, Francisco Elson, Jodie Meeks, and Hakim Warrick.  The re-shuffling re-vitalized the Bucks and vaulted them from 16-22 and out of the playoffs to 35-29 and sitting pretty as the fifth seed.

In the 26 games since my first post, the Bucks went 19-7, won the free throw battle 9 times, lost it 16 times, and tied once.  In their current 11-1 run, they've won the battle six times.  For simplicity's sake, I've counted the tie as a win since it obviously wasn't a loss (I have treated every team this way).

This means the Bucks have lost the free throw battle 48 of 64 times in 2009-2010, a 75.0% clip.  The updated historical team rankings:

 

Rank Season W-L-% -FTA -FTA%
-- 2009-2010 Bucks
35-29 48
75.0
1 1999-2000 Bucks
42-40 57 69.5
2 1992-1993 Bucks
28-54 56 68.3
3 1995-1996 Bucks
25-57 54 65.9
4 1986-1987 Bucks
50-32 53 64.6
2000-2001 Bucks
52-30 53 64.6
6
1998-1999 Bucks
28-22 32 64.0
7 2008-2009 Bucks
34-48 49 59.8
8 2007-2008 Bucks
26-56 48 58.5
2005-2006 Bucks
40-42 48 58.5

1989-1990 Bucks
44-38 48 58.5
11 1996-1997 Bucks
33-49 47 57.3
1987-1988 Bucks
42-40 47 57.3
13 2001-2002 Bucks
41-41 46 56.1
2002-2003 Bucks
42-40 46 56.1
15 1991-1992 Bucks
31-51 45 54.9
16 1997-1998 Bucks
36-46 44 53.7
17 2006-2007 Bucks
28-54 43 52.4
18 1993-1994 Bucks
20-62 41 50.0
1988-1989 Bucks
49-33 41 50.0
20 1990-1991 Bucks 48-34 38 46.3
21 2004-2005 Bucks
30-52 33 40.2
1994-1995 Bucks
34-48 33 40.2
23
2003-2004 Bucks
41-41 27 32.9

 

As you can see, the Bucks have come falling back to the field.  If they keep their rate over the last 26 games up over the final 18 games, they'll fall to 72.0% for the season, still enough for the top spot.  Even if they outshoot their opponents at the line in every remaining game, this year's squad will wind up in a tie for eighth.

Perhaps of less concern than historical team rankings are historical league rankings.  The 2009-2010 Bucks are no longer in second place:

 

Rank Season W-L -FTA -FTA%
1 1998-1999 Celtics 19-31 43 86.0
2 1993-1994 Pistons 20-62 69 84.1
3 1997-1998 Celtics 36-46 67 81.7
4 1992-1993 Mavericks 11-71 66 80.5
5 1994-1995 Pistons 28-54 65 79.3
6 1987-1988 SuperSonics 44-38 64 78.0
2008-2009 Pacers 36-46 64 78.0
8 1989-1990 Heat 18-64 63 76.8

1990-1991 Nuggets 20-62 63 76.8
10 1994-1995 Clippers 17-65 62 75.6

2002-2003 Knicks 37-45 62 75.6
-- 2009-2010 Bucks 35-29 48 75.0
12 1988-1989 Heat 15-67 61 74.4
13 1990-1991 Kings 25-57 60 73.2
14 1993-1994 Mavericks 13-69 59 72.0

1988-1989 Hornets 20-62 59 72.0

2007-2008 Timberwolves 22-60 59 72.0
17 1987-1988 Warriors 20-62 58 70.7
1989-1990 Hornets 19-63 58 70.7
2001-2002 Nuggets 27-55 58 70.7

2002-2003 Nuggets 17-65 58 70.7
2003-2004 Knicks 39-43 58 70.7
-- 2009-2010 Warriors 17-47 45 70.3
22 1998-1999 Warriors 21-29 35 70.0

 

The Bucks are obviously now in the middle of the pack, but they're also not alone in the table.  The Warriors make an appearance at the bottom of the table.  As noted in my last post, the 1987-1988 SuperSonics are the only team on the list to finish with a .500 record.  With the way the Bucks have been playing, I'd say they'll soon have company, except I have a feeling the Bucks will find a way to slide below 70.0%.

--

* - As noted last time, I used the Basketball-Reference.com Play Index to calculate these numbers.  The Play Index goes back to 1986-1987.

FanPosts are user-generated blogs-within-the-blog. We ask that members abide by our community guidelines and keep things respectable. Thanks.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Brew Hoop

You must be a member of Brew Hoop to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Brew Hoop. You should read them.

Join Brew Hoop

You must be a member of Brew Hoop to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Brew Hoop. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9347_tracker