FanPost

Ilyasova - getting a bum rap?


I'm willing to admit that I'm relatively green when it comes to saber metrics, but I had some time to look at the statistics on 82games.com and came to an interesting conclusion. Perhaps others have seen it as well.

I continue to hear that the Bucks need to trade Ilyasova, which I understand due to his disappointing year. In the end, I disagree with those sentiments. Ilyasova is not a stat stuffer, and his 3 pt. percentage has been extremely disappointing. However, when looking at the top 5 most productive lineups the Bucks used last year (based on Win %), it becomes pretty clear that the Bucks are better with Turk Nowitski on the court than without him.

See, the Ersanator is someone who makes his teammates better - he works hard, he gets extra possessions, he rebounds well, and he is another solid defender (as long as he's not against a very quick 4). Here are the best lineups from last year.

# Unit Min Off Def +/- W L Win%

Dooling-Douglas-Roberts-Maggette-Ilyasova-Bogut 89.9 1.06 0.91 +23 7 2 77.7

Jennings-Salmons-MbahaMoute-Ilyasova-Bogut 41.2 1.22 0.97 +18 6 3 66.6

Jennings-Salmons-Douglas-Roberts-Ilyasova-Bogut 32.5 0.97 0.88 +7 2 1 66.6

Jennings-Salmons-Maggette-Ilyasova-Bogut 97.8 1.05 1.00 +16 8 6 57.1

Dooling-Salmons-Maggette-Ilyasova-Bogut 34.0 1.05 1.02 -2 4 3 57.1

So maybe the Bucks should be looking at Ilyasova at starting the 4, instead of all the other candidates, (LRMAM, Gooden, Harris, etc.). Ersan may not seem like a contending starting 4, but the stats seems to bare otherwise.

I'd love some guidance from the more savvy sabermetric people on this blog. It's been a blast reading a BrewHoop on a consistent basis. I know I don't often comment, but it is out of respect for the knowledge here, not because I don't want to participate.

Look forward to your responses!

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