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NBA 2011-'12 League-Wide Predictions

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Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan form a powerful frontcourt in LA. But can they, along with Paul, lead the Clips to a title? If so, they'll have to find a way to cool down the Heat.

Hey guys, this post is just a bit of fun for me personally, predicting the 2011-12 NBA season. I'll jump right in by predicting the final standings of the East and West.

Eastern Conference

1. Miami Heat

2. New York Knicks

3. Chicago Bulls

4. Philadelphia 76ers

5. Atlanta Hawks

6. Indiana Pacers

7. Orlando Magic

8. Milwaukee Bucks

___________

9. Boston Celtics

10. New Jersey Nets

The Heat finish on top, with the Knicks lurking. Tyson Chandler and Baron Davis will prove to be big additions to the Knicks. I think the Magic will trade Howard (along with Jameer Nelson) for Bynum, Gasol, Darius Morris, and 2 1st round picks. They will drop off a bit this year but will be better for the future. The Bucks squeeze in at the 8th spot, thanks to an implosion by the Celtics, who will feel the loss of the Jeff Green for the season, as well as Pierce and Garnett for extended periods due to injuries.

Western Conference

1. LA Clippers

2. LA Lakers

3. Oklahoma City Thunder

4. Dallas Mavericks

5. Portland Trailblazers

6. San Antonio Spurs

7. Memphis Grizzlies

8. Golden State Warriors

_____________

9. New Orleans Hornets

10. Denver Nuggets

Not only did the Clippers add Paul, but DeAndre Jordan is an emerging stud, and Billups and Butler each bring something to the table. The only issue is depth up front, but I think they will move Mo Williams to add a backup big. The Lakers and Dwight Howard finish second. Durant and Westbrook out-tandem Nowzitki and Terry, finishing 3rd. Looking down the list, I think good things are a-brewing in Golden State, with Steph Curry taking the next step and Lee and Biedrins both staying healthy for a season. The Hornets will still be in the hunt without CP3, led by Eric Gordon averaging 25 Points.

Playoffs

Eastern Conf.

2nd Round

Knicks Def. Bulls 4-3

Heat Def. Hawks 4-1

EC Finals

Heat Def. Knicks 4-3

Western Conf.

2nd Round

Clippers Def. Mavs 4-2

Thunder Def. Lakers (Upset) 4-3

WC Finals

Clippers Def. Thunder


NBA FINALS

Heat Def. Clippers 4-3

Not a major surprise that I have the Miami Thrice winning it all. I think the difference between them last year and this year is having legit depth (adding Battier and having Miller and Haslem healthy, having Chalmers and Cole sharing the point), plus I really think LeBron is an improved player. I watched both of their preseason games, he's posting up now and hitting tough, contested mid-range shots like they are nothing.

Star-divide

Individual Awards

Here, I'll tell you who I expect to win the individual awards, such as MVP and Rookie of the Year.

Most Valuable Player

Winner: Kevin Durant

In The Hunt:

2. LeBron James

3. Chris Paul

4. Derrick Rose

5. Carmelo Anthony

Durant is going to score around 28-29 PPG again, and will grab around 8 boards per. That combined with a 3rd place finish and 45 wins (in a 66 game season, that's 45-21) will earn him the most prestigious individual award in basketball.

Rookie Of The Year

Winner: Jimmer Fredette

In The Hunt:

2. Kyrie Irving CLE

3. Derrick Williams MIN

4. Darius Morris (Traded from LAL to ORL)

5. Ricky Rubio MIN

I forsee alot of minutes in Sacramento at Point Guard being alotted to Fredette, possibly as much as 30 per game. That, plus the fact that he's ready to contribute right now, means he will win the award, averaging almost 15 PPG and 5 assist while making 45% from 3-pt range. Irving will see alot of minutes as well, but will struggle with his FG%. Darius Morris will get traded to Orlando where he will quickly show what he can do and outlast Chris Duhon for minutes at PG.

Most Improved Player

Winner: Evan Turner

In The Hunt:

2. Tyreke Evans

3. DeAndre Jordan

4. Eric Gordon

5. Jeff Teague

I think this is Turner's year, after a rookie campaign where he failed to impress in limited minutes. He will lead the 4th seed 76ers in points and assists. Tyreke Evans will shake off whatever was plagueing him last season, and regain control of the court in Sacramento. DeAndre Jordan looks like a bloomer in LA, while his former teammate Eric Gordon will score over 20 ppg for the Hornets. Jeff Teague is a swifty point guard on the rise.

Sixth Man

Winner: James Harden

In The Hunt:

2. Jason Terry

3. Jodie Meeks PHI

4. Jamal Crawford

A pretty easy pick, Harden will log solid minutes off the bench in OKC, sharing the backcourt with Westbrook and averaging 16 PPG. Terry will be in the hunt as usual, and sharpshooter Jodie Meeks is a new face for the 76ers.

Coach Of the Year

Winner: Vinny Del Negro LAC

In The Hunt:

2. Erik Spoelstra MIA

3. Doug Collins PHI

4. Mike Brown LAL

5. Scott Brooks OKC

With the Clippers finishing 1st in the West, I see Del Negro getting it. Collins gets alot of recongnition for leading the 76ers to over 40 wins and the 4th seed.

Defensive Player

Winner: Russell Westbrook

In The Hunt:

2. Tyson Chandler

3. Dwight Howard

4. Andrew Bogut

5. Serge Ibaka

Westbrook will be leading the NBA in steals, and will have a number of highlight blocks as well. After that, it's bigs with big wingspans, using their length to block shots.

So there you have it, my 2011-12 predictions for the NBA. I'll probably look back at this after the season and see how I did, maybe I should have a job with ESPN.

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Nice post

Good reasoning and some unconventional picks. I am not drinking Clipper-Ade quite yet, they will be much improved but I think the front-court depth(Scoring especially) will hurt come playoffs. I do think the West will be very tight from 1-6, I like Houston to be a dark horse team though, even more so if they can add a scorer. If Jimmer is ROY will we have to hear for years from Bucks “fans” how they were stupid to trade him just like Dirk?

"He always plays like he's a pit bull that hasn't been fed in about a year and that you've got pork chops in your pockets and that's the basketball." Of course, he's Canadian

by CanadaBucks on Dec 24, 2011 12:46 PM CST reply actions  

I think narrative is really important when it comes to awards

Probably no better opportunity for CP3 to win an MVP a la Nash in Phoenix—arrive in new destination, make them contenders alongside an exciting young PF (Amare then, Blake now). As much as that team needs to gel, I think it’d be very disappointing for them to be anything less than a top 3-4 team out West. CP3 dragged the Hornets to respectable records without anyone better than David West, so I’d hope he can do much better with Blake, Butler (though he’s a bit overrated) and Chauncey among others.

by Frank Madden on Dec 25, 2011 1:19 PM CST up reply actions  

I’m also not quite as high on the Clippers. They’ve got a pretty solid shot at a top-4 seed, but I think the West is the Thunder’s to lose this year. I don’t think the Clippers will be able to defend well enough. They’ll play Knicks-style defense: lots of fancy blocked shots and some steals but still give up lots of points.

There’s no way I’d put the Bucks ahead of the Celtics, but I just don’t like predicting injuries. Barring anything serious, the Celtics shouldn’t have any trouble making the playoffs.

I’m also not quite as high on the Sixers. I’d probably switch them with the Magic. Orlando will be good as long as they have Dwight, and they’ll probably still be good with whatever they get for him (unless it’s a busted-up Brook Lopez and a bunch of picks).

by Dan Sinclair on Dec 24, 2011 3:41 PM CST reply actions  

I’m also not quite sure why I used this sentence structure twice. I guess the first paragraph was meant as a response to CB’s comment.

by Dan Sinclair on Dec 24, 2011 3:42 PM CST up reply actions  

I see what you mean with the Clips D, it could be alot like the Knicks, except I think Paul doesn’t get enough credit for his on-ball defense and Butler brings on-ball D as well. I still think other teams will be able to put alot of points on them, but that will be due partially to the increased pace.

I hate the Celtics with a passion, and I just felt like making an excuse for putting the Bucks in the playoffs. I honestly don’t think we’ll make teh playoffs this season, mainly because the Pacers helped themselves alot by adding David West and they have young improving guards, and noone else in the Top 8 will falter IMO.

Montee Ball for Heisman.
Tajh Boyd and Dre' Ellington are the future.

by BlackPack-fan on Dec 24, 2011 4:29 PM CST up reply actions  

I think it's important to note the increased competition in the 6-8 spots

Odds are no one will stumble ass-backwards into the East 8th seed this year. Very curious how teams like the Hawks and Magic will respond…lots of people expecting them to stagnate, and obviously everything changes for the Magic if they trade Dwight. On the flip side, it will be interesting to see if Philly/Indy can take the next steps.

by Frank Madden on Dec 25, 2011 3:39 PM CST up reply actions  

IMO

Clippers vs Heat would be a fantastic and likely NBA finals (unless D12 goes to LAL).

Sure, playoff spots are the Heat, Knicks, Bulls, Celtics, Magic, Hawks IMO. Philly, NJ, Indy, and Milwaukee fight for the 7 and 8 seeds.

Magic: Orlando does not trade D12, they’ll convince him to opt into his PO and clear enough space to sign D Will or Nash.

by FearTheDeer on Dec 26, 2011 1:42 PM CST reply actions  

I think Denver and Minnesota are underrated and one may sneak into the playoffs. Denver is better without Carmelo and MN is a much better team this year.

Mavs may fall off, losing three of their best player/teammates in Chandler, Barea, and Butler. Yikes.

by kanyon on Dec 27, 2011 2:50 AM CST reply actions  

Can't figure out what the Mavs were thinking

If you win the title, wouldn’t you pretty much want the same team back, and maybe with a nice addition as well? That’s exactly what you want. But the Mavs felt otherwise and let their 4 starters/role players leave, and proceed by signing a washed-up vet who doesn’t pass in Vince Carter.

Denver I think falls otu because they just won’t have enough consistent scoring. Minny I think has a bright future but it’s a little early for them, considering Rubio is a rookie, Williams is a rookie, and most of their other young players still getting better.

Montee Ball didn't win the Heisman. F__ everybody.
Tajh Boyd and Dre' Ellington are the future.

by BlackPack-fan on Dec 27, 2011 10:18 AM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, I don't know if the Mavs make it at all

That Mavs 1st round pick in LAL is looking nice right now. LAL wasn’t really going to win it all with or without Odom so why not get back a pick on a team battling old age.

by FearTheDeer on Dec 28, 2011 9:45 PM CST up reply actions  

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