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Going Inside The Box Score: Mike Dunleavy, Master Facilitator

Statistics can tell us a lot about a game: who played well, who played poorly, and which team won. But they can't tell us how these numbers came about. That's why we're going inside the box score and finding out the story behind the stats.

Today's subject: Mike Dunleavy and his game-high 8 assists

The faux-feud between Brandon Jennings and Ricky Rubio would be best settled by a friendly game of Jenga (as most feuds are), but a realistic way of settling the point guard debate is to see who can out-distribute each other. It would seem that Jennings won the day today (7 dimes to 4), but he didn't even have the most assists on the team. No, the best passer in Tuesday's win over Minnesota was Mike Dunleavy, and we're going to go to the tape to find out how that happened.

Star-divide

1st quarter, 7:22 - Andrew Bogut makes layup (assist by Dunleavy)

Dunleavy runs from the baseline and receives the ball at the left wing, with Bogut camped out on the block. The easy entry pass is made, and Bogut makes a quick dribble and drop-steps to the basket and, a few pump-fakes later, lays it in.

1st quarter, 3:21 - Jon Leuer draws foul, makes layup (assist by Dunleavy)

Dunleavy runs the floor along the left sideline with Jennings, Livingston, and a trailing Leuer. Dunleavy receives the ball on the left wing, throws a solid fake that gets Luke Ridnour to over-committ, then takes one more dribble before passing to the wide-open Leuer near the basket. A crafty up-and-under later, Leuer has a reverse layup and a free throw.

1st quarter, 2:31 - Shaun Livingston makes 4-foot shot (assist by Dunleavy)

In a half-court set, Dunleavy receives the ball in the left corner and dribbles in a wide arc, ending up at the left elbow. Jon Leuer has set three screens on the play, the third one freeing up a back-door cutting Shaun Livingston for an easy look. The pass is right through the defense into the hands of Livingston, who makes the shot.

2nd quarter, 3:04 - Brandon Jennings makes 25-foot 3-point shot (assist by Dunleavy)

Leuer comes up with a steal and pushes the ball up to Jennings on the right side. Jennings lofts the ball to Larry Sanders following on the left, but the timing is off and prevents the would-have-been-spectacular alley-oop. Sanders comes up with the ball on the way back down as the defense gathers. Dunleavy is wide open on the right wing, but notices the defense rotating before he even catches the pass. Instead, he quickly swings it to Jennings, who is waiting alone in the right corner. It may not have been as highlight-worthy as the attempted slam dunk, but the extra pass amounted to an extra point.

3rd quarter, 7:11 - Stephen Jackson makes 25-foot 3-point shot (assist by Dunleavy)

Dunleavy runs off a Larry Sanders screen and receives the ball from Jennings just to the left of the top of the key. After a few moments, Dunleavy dribbles right, using a Bogut screen to get space. The defender (Ridnour) recovers quickly, but the defense is slow to pick up Jackson, who is waiting for the swing pass back over at the left wing. This play was relatively unremarkable, except how Dunleavy is able to hit his teammate with the pass in the exact spot they are most comfortable with.

3rd quarter, 6:50 - Brandon Jennings makes layup (assist by Dunleavy)

After a few moments without possession, the ball finds itself in the hands of Darko Milicic, who tries to thread the needle to Derrick Williams. This is ill-advised, as it's easily intercepted by Mike Dunleavy. Dunleavy quickly targets Jennings, who is already at the opposite free-throw line, and telegraphs a pass 3/4 the length of the court right into Jennings' hands. Jennings is able to navigate the traffic and convert the quick basket.

4th quarter, 10:56 - Jon Leuer makes 14-foot jump shot (assist by Dunleavy)

At the top of the key, Dunleavy takes a Bogut screen and drives right. Milicic meets him at the elbow, and Dunleavy picks up his dribble and looks for a pass. It actually takes a few seconds to find a teammate, but Leuer pops up at the left baseline with enough room for a jumper. The pass is crisp, as is the one dribble Leuer takes to his right before elevating for the quick shot.

4th quarter, 8:34 - Brandon Jennings makes dunk (assist by Dunleavy)

This is a perfect example of a generous home-court statistician. Dunleavy comes up with a Ricky Rubio turnover and quickly flips the ball to Brandon Jennings just before half court. Three dribbles later, Jennings throws down the uncontested dunk. This is definitely not an assist, but it counts that way because we're in Milwaukee.

* * *

At the 4:48 mark, Skiles pulls Dunleavy in favor of a Jennings-Livingston-Jackson-Ilyasova-Bogut lineup, with the score at 89-81. While the more defensively-proficienct lineup works on paper, they couldn't stop the Timberwolves from drawing fouls. Bogut got his 6th at the 2:08 mark, thus allowing Leuer to come in and dunk his way into Bucks lore.

But Dunleavy had already left his mark on this game, even if his shot wasn't falling. His basketball IQ was widely regarded as one of his best attributes, and he showed it off by assisting on 19 Milwaukee points. He meshes well with everyone on the floor (provided they can catch passes), helping to stabilize the Milwaukee offense. More than anything, his pinpoint passing opens up the transition game. Not bad for a small forward.

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I know I'll get razzed for this but...

This is why I think Delfino is redundant. I think a couple of contenders might be interested and maybe we could get a young player out of it.

"He always plays like he's a pit bull that hasn't been fed in about a year and that you've got pork chops in your pockets and that's the basketball." Of course, he's Canadian

by CanadaBucks on Dec 29, 2011 5:27 PM CST reply actions  

Delfino for Speights?

Not that Philly is a contender tho!

Fear the 'Dear'? You're damn right I'm scared of my wife!

by Big Crazy Dave on Dec 29, 2011 5:47 PM CST up reply actions  

That is an EXCELLENT idea

Between Dunleavy, Mbah a Moute, Harris (eventually), Jackson, and Livingston, we’re full on wings. Delfino can help another team more than he can help this one, but bringing in talent at a different position (or at least a different skill set) will help us more in the long run.

Not that I don’t love Delfino, but big-picture-wise, it’s a smart move.

http://twitter.com/WhalesLarry ...but only if you want to see someone still trying to figure Twitter out.

by Mitchell Maurer on Dec 29, 2011 6:22 PM CST up reply actions  

Yes I'd trade Delfino for Speights anyday

And Philly is more of a contender than us anyway.

"He always plays like he's a pit bull that hasn't been fed in about a year and that you've got pork chops in your pockets and that's the basketball." Of course, he's Canadian

by CanadaBucks on Dec 29, 2011 6:50 PM CST up reply actions  

I like Delfino

But I don’t think he has much trade value…would have to be very situation-specific. Definitely a useful piece for putting together a bigger deal.

Speights is still in the doghouse, eh? He’s always fascinated me, though he obviously wouldn’t be on the block without some major question marks. I’d roll the dice, but it would seem very un-Bucks-like.

by Frank Madden on Dec 29, 2011 7:24 PM CST up reply actions  

It would be a safe trade though

He’s got a QO for next year so your safe that way. I think that Delfino might have some value at the deadline, the Knicks I think could use him and maybe some other contender

"He always plays like he's a pit bull that hasn't been fed in about a year and that you've got pork chops in your pockets and that's the basketball." Of course, he's Canadian

by CanadaBucks on Dec 29, 2011 8:00 PM CST up reply actions  

This is kind of crazy

…but check out Speights’ 82games profile compared to Gooden. Speights shot a little better last year, but these profiles are very similar as far as the shot distribution and other stats.

by Brick's house on Dec 29, 2011 8:06 PM CST up reply actions  

I'd much rather just waive Brockman than trade Delfino

If Carlos is a “shooter” (he’s one the few guys on the roster than comes close) than he’s worth keeping around. I tweeted this out earlier, but a lineup of Bogut, Mbah a Moute (or Sanders), Dunleavy, Delfino, and either Jennings or Udrih is really intriguing to me. You’ve got two decent shooters in Dunleavy and Delfino, two good rim paint defenders in Bogut and Sanders, and either the quickness of Jennings or the famous Udrih PUJIT. I really want to see that lineup.

by Dan Sinclair on Dec 29, 2011 9:04 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm not trading Delfino for a roster spot

It would be to get Speights in what would be a low-risk, possible high-reward type trade. I don’t believe Delfino is on the Bucks next year anyway, so why not try to get something for him. I would do Ersan instead if that worked.

"He always plays like he's a pit bull that hasn't been fed in about a year and that you've got pork chops in your pockets and that's the basketball." Of course, he's Canadian

by CanadaBucks on Dec 29, 2011 9:32 PM CST up reply actions  

Ahhhhhh ok

I see. It’s a good thought, though if the options are 1) waive Brockman and sign Przybilla (or a comparable player) or 2) trade Delfino for a backup like Speights, I’d pick the former.

by Dan Sinclair on Dec 29, 2011 10:53 PM CST up reply actions  

I would disagree for these reasons:

Delfino and Przybilla have no long term value withBucks, having both of them this year might be moving up one place or so. Speights may be a bust but if he blooms with the Bucks you either have a building piece for the future, or a trade chip. Brockman is irrelevant but I really think Dunleavy takes most of Delfino’s minutes, and I’d rather give the rest to a player with more of a future with the Bucks. As someone else mentioned the Sixers probably wouldn’t do this deal anyway, but I would if i could.

"He always plays like he's a pit bull that hasn't been fed in about a year and that you've got pork chops in your pockets and that's the basketball." Of course, he's Canadian

by CanadaBucks on Dec 30, 2011 10:22 AM CST up reply actions  

Loved this!
He meshes well with everyone on the floor (provided they can catch passes)

Wonder who Mitchell means there…..? :)

Fear the 'Dear'? You're damn right I'm scared of my wife!

by Big Crazy Dave on Dec 29, 2011 5:45 PM CST reply actions  

< blockquote > is a tricky tool

but it will serve you well.

http://twitter.com/WhalesLarry ...but only if you want to see someone still trying to figure Twitter out.

by Mitchell Maurer on Dec 29, 2011 6:21 PM CST up reply actions  

Haha ;)

Fear the 'Dear'? You're damn right I'm scared of my wife!

by Big Crazy Dave on Dec 29, 2011 8:40 PM CST up reply actions  

I totally disagree about the assist being given on the Jennings dunk

Dunleavy’s pass directly enabled Jennings’ breakaway, so I absolutely think it’s an assist, dribbles be damned.

by Frank Madden on Dec 29, 2011 7:55 PM CST reply actions  

Is there a formal definition of an assist?

I’ve always thought it was 2 or fewer dribbles before a made basket. Always harder to judge in the post (given how long it can take to size up/back down a defender), but on this play, I contend it is absolutely not an assist.

That’s just me, though.

http://twitter.com/WhalesLarry ...but only if you want to see someone still trying to figure Twitter out.

by Mitchell Maurer on Dec 29, 2011 8:02 PM CST up reply actions  

Interesting article…also, it appears FIBA and NCAA have slightly different guidelines.

The NBA statistician’s manual says an assist should be “credited to a player tossing the last pass leading directly to a field goal, only if the player scoring the goal responds by demonstrating immediate reaction to the basket.” It sounds simple enough. As assist is a pass made to a shooter who scores. But when you try to apply this definition during a game, it gets murky. There are no details about how many steps shooters can take after receiving a pass; nothing about shot-fakes, head-fakes or pivot moves and no hard guidelines on how much time can elapse between the pass and the shot.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123855027541776617.html

by Frank Madden on Dec 29, 2011 8:08 PM CST up reply actions  

Hmm.

You make an interesting point (as well as citing an interesting article). But I tend to be a strict constructionist when it comes to most things, so my definition of an assist might be more narrow than normal.

http://twitter.com/WhalesLarry ...but only if you want to see someone still trying to figure Twitter out.

by Mitchell Maurer on Dec 29, 2011 8:21 PM CST up reply actions  

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