Hi Bucks fans,
I'm a Wizards fan and like you, I have seen the Bogut to the Wiz rumor. It got me thinking about a realistic trade for both teams.
You guys need a scoring 2 guard and solid 5 both with the potential to grow with Jennings, Illyasova and Luc and get you places in future playoff berths. We need more solid veteran players period, since we have 3 rookies and 5 sophomores to go with Nick Young, Javale McGee and Andray Blatche.
However, Jax ($10m next year) plus Bogut ($13million next year) for Lewis ($13million guaranteed next year if you decline the team option, $24million if you'd pick it up) is merely a salary dump that doesn't get your team anywhere.
It got me playing around with the trade machine a little and I came up with this deal
Jax, Bogut, Livingston and your 2012 first round pick
This gives the Bucks the scoring 2 guard with a lot of upside in Jordan Crawford. Jordan averages about 13ppg, 3rpg, 3apg off the bench behind Nick Young (for the most part of the season). He was the rookie revelation last year after being traded as a throw in by the Hawks in the Hinrich deal, scoring and taking over the starting 2 guard spot after Young got injured for the remainder of the season just after the All Star break. Although he has been a bit inconsistant this year, he can score, make plays for himself and others and he has great energy and hustle defensively.
Javale McGee has the rep of being somewhat of a clown at times but as a 7'1 athletic freak of nature he averages 12ppg, 9rpg, 2.5bpg and rocks a PER of 19.5 in just 27 minutes per game, while still only being 24yrs old. He is part of the Arenas/Jamison/Butler holdovers along with Blatche and Young and we just really need to move on from that, much like you guys aren't saying Bogut is a bum, but it's just time to part ways.
Seraphin was the 17th pick in the 2010 draft, acquired form Chicago in the Hinrich deal (for the rights of a former 2nd round pick) and was drafted as a project. He is a 6'9 / 265lbs ' back to the basket' PF/C. Good rebounder, impossible to move in the low block and has a nice little jump hook. He hasn't gotten to much playing time for a rookie (for Washington standards anyway) with just over 10mpg last year, adjusting to the NBA and the U.S.. He has shown nice progression this year, highlighted by destroying Gasol and Bynum in the paint on both sides of the floor in our win over the Lakers 2 days ago. At worst he provides frontcourt depth and has a chance to become a legitimate rotation player, if not role playing starter on a good team if you pair him with a complementary big.
Lewis' team option, of course, will not be picked up, saving you about $10million next season and the remaining years on Bogut's deal.
Most Wizards fans think this is giving up way to much for a disgrunted Jax, an injury prone Bogut, an expensive backup PG and a late lottery pick. I personally think Bogut can still be serviceable as a defensive big for 60 to 70 games a year, Jax is still a good player that just needs to get out of a sour situation asap, while his contract will be a trade asset at next yrs trade deadline. Livingston isn't much value, but at least he can play (we only have second round pick Shelvin Mack behind Wall). The late lottery pick can be packaged with a young player like Jan Vesely or Chris Singleton, our 3 second round picks, capspace to take on a bad contract and maybe even Andray Blatche, to help us get a second top 10 pick in the 2012 draft.
Enough talking by me. What do you guys think? Is this a fair trade from your perspective, or am I completely wrong and clueless in your eyes?