FanPost

A Mock Draft of Sorts

Mock drafts are always a fun thing to look and think about but the problem with mock drafts is it's nearly impossible to make one that is going to be even 50% correct. There are just too many variables. So I set out to create a mock draft that is as accurate as possible. To do this, I looked at 13 mock drafts and 7 Big Boards from various media outlets. I took the picks and rankings from those to create a chart to show where each player is likely to go.

I guess you wouldn't call this a mock draft but my main objective behind this was to get a general sense of where each prospect is projected to go. Think of this as more of a guideline to making a mock draft more accurate.

Pick Team Players
1 Cleveland Embiid Wiggins Parker Exum Vonleh Smart
2 Milwaukee Embiid Wiggins Parker Exum Vonleh Smart Randle
3 Philadelphia Embiid Wiggins Parker Exum Vonleh Smart Randle Gordon McDermott Saric Nurkic
4 Orlando Embiid Wiggins Parker Exum Vonleh Smart Randle Gordon McDermott Saric Nurkic
5 Utah Exum Vonleh Smart Randle Gordon McDermott Saric Nurkic
6 Boston Exum Vonleh Smart Randle Gordon McDermott Saric Nurkic Ennis
7 Lakers Vonleh Smart Randle Gordon McDermott Saric Nurkic Ennis Harris Young Stauskas
8 Sacramento Vonleh Smart Randle Gordon McDermott Saric Nurkic Ennis Harris Young Stauskas McDaniels
9 Charlotte Randle Gordon McDermott Saric Nurkic Ennis Harris Young Stauskas McDaniels LaVine Payne Capela
10 Philadelphia Randle Gordon McDermott Saric Nurkic Ennis Harris Young Stauskas McDaniels LaVine Payne Capela Anderson
11 Denver Randle McDermott Saric Nurkic Ennis Harris Young Stauskas McDaniels LaVine Payne Capela Anderson Hood
12 Orlando McDermott Saric Nurkic Ennis Harris Young Stauskas McDaniels LaVine Payne Capela Anderson Hood Payton Warren
13 Minnesota McDermott Saric Nurkic Ennis Harris Young Stauskas McDaniels LaVine Payne Capela Anderson Hood Payton Warren
14 Phoenix McDermott Saric Nurkic Ennis Harris Young Stauskas McDaniels LaVine Payne Capela Anderson Hood Payton Warren Grant Hairston
15 Atlanta McDermott Saric Nurkic Ennis Harris Young Stauskas McDaniels LaVine Payne Capela Anderson Hood Payton Warren Grant Hairston Early Porzingis
16 Chicago McDermott Saric Nurkic Ennis Harris Young Stauskas McDaniels LaVine Payne Capela Anderson Hood Payton Warren Grant Hairston Early Porzingis Ingles
17 Boston McDermott Saric Nurkic Ennis Harris Stauskas McDaniels LaVine Payne Capela Anderson Hood Payton Warren Grant Hairston Early Porzingis Ingles Napier Adams
18 Phoenix Saric Nurkic Ennis Harris Stauskas McDaniels LaVine Payne Capela Anderson Hood Payton Warren Grant Hairston Early Porzingis Ingles Napier Adams Dinwiddie
19 Chicago Saric Nurkic Ennis Harris Stauskas McDaniels LaVine Payne Capela Anderson Hood Payton Warren Grant Hairston Early Porzingis Ingles Napier Adams Dinwiddie McGary Austin
20 Toronto Saric Nurkic Ennis Harris Stauskas McDaniels LaVine Payne Capela Anderson Hood Payton Warren Grant Hairston Early Porzingis Ingles Napier Adams Dinwiddie McGary Austin Robinson
21 OKC Nurkic Ennis Harris McDaniels LaVine Payne Capela Anderson Hood Payton Warren Grant Hairston Early Porzingis Ingles Napier Adams Dinwiddie McGary Austin Robinson Wilcox Bogdanovic Daniels
22 Memphis Nurkic Ennis McDaniels LaVine Payne Capela Anderson Hood Payton Warren Grant Hairston Early Porzingis Ingles Napier Adams Dinwiddie McGary Austin Robinson Wilcox Bogdanovic Daniels Stokes
23 Utah Nurkic Ennis McDaniels LaVine Payne Capela Anderson Hood Payton Warren Grant Hairston Early Porzingis Ingles Napier Adams Dinwiddie McGary Austin Robinson Wilcox Bogdanovic Daniels Stokes
24 Charlotte Nurkic Ennis McDaniels LaVine Payne Capela Payton Warren Grant Hairston Early Porzingis Ingles Napier Adams Dinwiddie McGary Austin Robinson Wilcox Bogdanovic Daniels Stokes Clarkson
25 Houston Nurkic Ennis McDaniels LaVine Capela Payton Warren Grant Hairston Early Porzingis Ingles Napier Adams Dinwiddie McGary Austin Robinson Wilcox Bogdanovic Daniels Stokes Clarkson
26 Miami Nurkic McDaniels LaVine Capela Payton Grant Hairston Early Porzingis Ingles Napier Adams Dinwiddie McGary Austin Robinson Wilcox Bogdanovic Daniels Stokes Clarkson
27 Phoenix Nurkic McDaniels LaVine Capela Payton Grant Hairston Early Porzingis Ingles Napier Adams Dinwiddie McGary Austin Robinson Wilcox Bogdanovic Daniels Stokes Clarkson
28 Clippers Nurkic McDaniels Capela Payton Grant Hairston Early Porzingis Ingles Napier Adams Dinwiddie McGary Austin Robinson Wilcox Bogdanovic Daniels Stokes Clarkson
29 OKC Nurkic McDaniels Capela Payton Grant Hairston Early Porzingis Ingles Napier Adams Dinwiddie McGary Austin Robinson Wilcox Bogdanovic Daniels Stokes Clarkson
30 San Antonio Nurkic McDaniels Capela Payton Grant Hairston Early Porzingis Ingles Napier Adams Dinwiddie McGary Austin Robinson Wilcox Bogdanovic Daniels Stokes Clarkson

I did this chart in Excel and added some colors but wasn't able to add them to here, so I'll just mention which ones were meant to have color and what they would've meant.

I used three colors. One for "likely too early", one for "likely gone" and one for "outliers." Instead of going through the whole chart and which ones should have color, I'll just note the likely range where most of the players likely will go according to the information I gathered.

Embiid: 1-3 Wiggins: 1-3 Parker: 1-3

Exum: 4-5 Randle: 4-7 Vonleh: 5-8

Smart: 5-8 Gordon: 5-10 McDermott: 8-13

Saric: 8-12 Harris: 10-16 LaVine: 11-24

Stauskas: 9-14 Young: 10-16 Hood: 13-19

Grant: 18-28 Ennis: 12-19 Payton: 17-25

Anderson: 15-23 Nurkic: 10-20 Payne: 12-19

Capela: 18-25 Warren: 14-25 Early: 17-30+

Napier: 22-30+ McDaniels: 20-30 Hairston: 18-25

Porzingis: 20-30+ Adams: 23-30+ Robinson: 22-30+

McGary: 25-30+ Wilcox: 24-30+

Just for the fun of it, I'll end this with a top 10 mock draft of how I think things will happen without trades.

1. Cleveland: Embiid

2. Milwaukee: Parker

3. Philadelphia: Wiggins

4. Orlando: Exum

5. Utah: Randle

6. Boston: Smart

7. Lakers: Vonleh

8: Sacramento: Gordon

9. Charlotte: McDermott

10: Philadelphia: Harris

I'll probably post an updated version of this as we get closer to the draft.

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