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2012 NBA Draft: Prospects Align, Order Does Not In Mock Draft Breakdown

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This NBA Draft Order is from 2011, but the point is that the board always starts blank. I believe a list of prospects has emerged for the Milwaukee Bucks when they pick at No. 12.
This NBA Draft Order is from 2011, but the point is that the board always starts blank. I believe a list of prospects has emerged for the Milwaukee Bucks when they pick at No. 12.

The 2012 NBA Draft is drawing closer, so it's time to take another close look at what the Milwaukee Bucks might do with the No. 12 overall pick. In the second version of my NBA Mock Draft breakdown series, Anthony Davis, Thomas Robinson, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Bradley Beal, Andre Drummond, Harrison Barnes and Damian Lillard emeerge as clear-cut top-10 picks. Those players will be out of reach unless the Bucks trade up. However, that list only includes seven players.

The next group of prospects -- SG Jeremy Lamb, G Dion Waiters and C Meyers Leonard -- could be in play at No. 12, but Waiters may have a promise that puts him out of reach while Lamb and Leonard may get snatched up before John Hammond is on the clock. Beyond those 10 players, John Henson, Jared Sullinger, Tyler Zeller, Kendall Marshall, Perry Jones III, Austin Rivers and Terrence Jones are all potentially within reach. Unfortunately, there is very little agreement on the proper hierarchy of this prospect set. Meanwhile, Terrence Ross has dropped low enough for me to think he is off the list (note: Ross worked out with the Bucks on Thursday, so I'm just guessing here).

Let's take a closer look at the updated NBA Draft landscape...

2012_nba_mock_draft_meta-analysis_v2_large

The players on the board when the Bucks pick are only as inspiring as you want them to be, honestly. Terrence Jones is a potential face-up PF that I think would fit well on the Bucks, but Jones said he would like to play SF and after the combine he isn't among the lottery picks in most mocks. Are character issues weighing him down?

Meyers Leonard is the most common Bucks pick at this point (he worked out for the team on Thursday and is considered a rising prospect), even though Rivers, T. Jones, P. Jones and Zeller are consistently available. John Henson, Jared Sullinger and Jeremy Lamb are other players passed on in various projections. It's hard to really get worked up about the Bucks failing to take anyone in that trio.

Now let's take a look at the composite rankings:

2012_nba_mock_draft_meta-analysis_rankings_large

If consensus is worth anything, the average pick values reduce Milwaukee's pool to Henson, Zeller, Marshall, Rivers, T. Jones, P. Jones and Ross. If forced to rank those players, I would probably go with:

  1. Terrence Jones
  2. Austin Rivers
  3. Tyler Zeller
  4. Perry Jones
  5. Kendall Marshall
  6. John Henson
  7. Terrence Ross

Some of that has to do with avoiding the accumulation of duplicative talent, and the rest is simply filled in with my personal preferences. Thoughts? Finally, here is a breakdown of the draft trends on Draft Express and ESPN.

2012_nba_mock_draft_meta-analysis_dx_espn_large

The same list of players as developed under the composite rankings essentially appears again, so now it's up to you guys to help hammer out how the Bucks should rank: Terrence Jones, Austin Rivers, Tyler Zeller, Perry Jones. Kendall Marshall, John Henson and Terrence Ross.

Please explain your order below.